Money-market funds saw the largest weekly outflow since Lehman (Q3 2008), plunging $99BN…
Source: Bloomberg
The outflows were all from institutional funds (retail funds saw another inflow)…
Source: Bloomberg
Presumably this was driven by tax-extension deadline payments – or else something serious is happening.
Total bank deposits – on a seasonally-adjusted basis – dropped for the second week in a row (-$$8.7BN)…
Source: Bloomberg
Non-seasonally-adjusted, total deposits saw inflows for the 3rd week in a row (+$20.6BN)…
Source: Bloomberg
Is this the start of a major reversal… or just the one-off tax flows?
Source: Bloomberg
Domestically, excluding foreign banks, there were deposit inflows on both an SA and NSA basis…
Source: Bloomberg
Which has narrowed the delta between SA and NSA deposit outflows since SVB to just $38BN (the outflows are still over $200BN total)…
Source: Bloomberg
On the other side of the ledger, bans increased their lending volumes modestly last week – after 2 weeks of shrinkage – op around $9BN…
Source: Bloomberg
The Fed’s balance sheet shrank by around $19BN last week, but usage of its emergency funding facility for banks remained at record highs around $109BN…
Source: Bloomberg
Bank reserves at The Fed and US equity market appear to be converging back together…
Source: Bloomberg
The key warning sign continues to trend lower (Small Banks’ reserve constraint), supported above the critical level by The Fed’s emergency funds (for now).
Source: Bloomberg
Notably above, Large bank cash is surging (as those money-market fund outflows move?) – is it time to sacrifice another small bank for the greater good?
Source: Bloomberg
Finally, if you’re wondering why regional banks were clubbed like a baby seal this week… wonder no more…
Source: Bloomberg
They have a $109BN (at least) hole in their balance sheets that needs to be filled by March-ish…
…(and with rates going higher, good luck!)
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