Are Germany’s Greens Jealous Of Poland’s Globally Infamous Russophobic Policies?

Are Germany’s Greens Jealous Of Poland’s Globally Infamous Russophobic Policies?

This interpretation suggests that Poland is now capable of leveraging its globally infamous Russophobic policies to influence Western European countries like Germany after having successfully done so in Central Europe. That means that this Russophobic race is one that Germany can never win, which is why it should have remained pragmatic towards Russia.

Germany has come under intense pressure to step up its military role in the NATO-led proxy war on Russia through Ukraine, having only just recently decided to dispatch heavy weapons to the conflict zone in contravention of its historical policy of eschewing such shipments to places of ongoing fighting. Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock made the announcement while visiting Kiev last week, during which time she also revealed that Germany will soon beginning training that country’s forces. Chancellor Olaf Scholtz had done his utmost to resist the top-down pressure to this end from the US and complementary bottom-up pressure from his Social Democratic Party’s coalition partners, the Greens, from where Baerbock hails. He ultimately failed though, which speaks to the Greens’ rising influence in acting as the US’ Russophobic proxies in Germany.

This observation deserves a bit more elaboration since many previously considered Germany to be “close” to Russia under the rule of former Chancellor Angela Merkel, or at least not as distant from the Kremlin as most European states had been pressured by the US into becoming since 2014. Being the EU’s largest economy and hitherto in a relationship of complex energy dependence with Russia, it was widely thought that Germany’s powerful business community would continue exerting enough pragmatic influence over the government to prevent any full rupture of relations regardless of the pressure that the US imposed upon it and irrespective of whether it co-opted internal forces in support of its campaign. Those expectations were shattered after the Greens proved themselves capable of sabotaging this, though the reason why they were able to succeed remains unclear.

Baerbock’s party hates Russia for ideological reasons largely related to the Greens’ ultra-radical liberal worldview, but that in and of itself wouldn’t ordinarily be enough to seize control of Germany’s foreign policy even after they ended up planting one of their members in that ministerial post. It can’t be known for sure, but it might be that the Greens started becoming jealous of Poland’s ruling “Law & Justice” (PiS per its Polish abbreviation) party after they positioned themselves and their country as the most Russophobic on the planet. Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki proudly boasted about how Poland set the global standard for Russophobia and then recently declared a crusade against the country that he then called a “cancer”. Despite being superficially on the right, which thus makes it the polar ideological opposite of the Greens, that German party might still have become jealous of the Polish one.

There’s actually a logical reason why that might have been so from the perspective of their shared Russophobic interests. Poland’s grand strategy is to do everything possible to make itself seen as the US’ most reliable ally in Europe, which its leadership plans to leverage for privileged investment into its economy on the pretext of “defending against Russian hybrid war” in order to facilitate the envisioned revival of its historical Great Power status. The only problem is that Germany had thus far been considered to be the US’ top ally on the continent for decades, which is why Poland took to loudly criticizing Scholz for his initially pragmatic reluctance to involve the EU’s largest economy in NATO’s proxy war on Russia through Ukraine. Warsaw knew that this would smear Berlin in the eyes of US strategists and thus get them to consider Poland as being more reliable of an ally than Germany.

Scholz seemed prepared for any possible long-term consequences from his principled policy of refraining from providing military support to countries engaged in active conflicts since he inherited a quasi-multipolar grand strategy from Merkel as evidenced by the pragmatic (but by no means perfect) ties that she cultivated with China, which is one of the dual engines of the emerging Multipolar World Order alongside Russia. The global systemic transition towards multipolarity is presently in what can be described as a bi-multipolar transitional phase whereby International Relations are disproportionately shaped by the global competition between the American and Chinese superpowers, hence why Merkel and recently Scholz sought to balance between them in order to bolster Germany’s strategic autonomy. Relations with Russia were supposed to remain mutually beneficial as part of this balancing act.

That grand strategy has now been sabotaged after the Greens captured control of it and subsequently derailed the Russian vector by committing Germany to dispatching heavy weaponry to Kiev and training its fighters, which will in turn unbalance their country’s careful balancing act and thus increase the odds that the US will eventually weaponize its reasserted hegemony over the EU leader to coerce it into one day curtailing ties with China too upon whatever pretext Washington invents. The only possible way that Baerbock could have convinced her country’s policymakers to sacrifice the hard-earned strategic autonomy that they’d obtained up until this point was to point to neighboring Poland’s success in becoming the US’ top ally and fearmonger that its replacement of Germany’s traditional role in this respect would entail greater long-term consequences than remaining committed to its Russian policy.

In other words, however her and her fellow party members phrased it, they seemingly succeeded in convincing German diplomats of the perceived “need” to abandon their decades-long Russian policy in favor of competing with Poland over which of those two will become the US’ top European ally in the coming decades. Considering the New Cold War context, this essentially entails seeing which of them can become more Russophobic, the first step towards which was to indefinitely suspend Nord Stream II and then escalate matters by arming Kiev with heavy weaponry and training its fighters to kill Russians. Poland is already doing both so the de facto Green-controlled German government is basically playing catch-up with the same country that they’d previously written off as a has-been former Great Power that’ll never revive its regional influence.

Just like many Poles are driven by Russophobia into supporting policies that go against their country’s objective national interests, so too are many Germans (at least within their country’s permanent military, intelligence, and diplomatic bureaucracies or “deep state”) driven to do the same by Polonphobia. In this context, the thought of having their traditional role in Europe as the US’ top ally replaced by Poland of all countries might have been too much for its “deep state” to accept, especially its disproportionately influential US-backed Greens that already controlled the Foreign Ministry as part of last year’s coalition agreement. It’s also possible that the support of other Russophobic elements that had been lurking within the German “deep state” as “sleeper cells” for years until they finally “awoke” at the “perfect time” upon their American patron’s command played a decisive role in this as well.

However the sequence of events unfolded behind the scenes, there’s no doubt that Baerbock is the face of this literal “revolution” in German foreign policy that’s actually much more akin to a coup considering just how unprecedented this volte face has been. It couldn’t have been possible without a member of the Greens leading that country’s Foreign Ministry and most likely becoming jealous of how successful Poland’s Russophobic policies had become in positioning it as the US’ most reliable ally on the continent. It wasn’t just ideological competition with PiS in this respect that’s responsible for the Greens actively lobbying to change their country’s previously pragmatic stance towards Russia, but also its “deep state’s” innate Polonophobia that makes their representatives regard it as absolutely unacceptable to have Poland beat them in anything, let alone in becoming the US’ most privileged partner.

The irony is that while Germany tried to influence Poland’s internal policies through the support that it extends to the “Civic Platform” (PO per the Polish abbreviation) opposition, it was ultimately Poland that ended up influencing Germany’s foreign policy simply by succeeding in becoming the US’ top European ally through its pathologically Russophobic policies. Germany, led by the Greens that captured control of its Foreign Ministry, eventually followed suit as evidenced by Baerbock’s declaration that it’ll ship heavy weaponry to Kiev and soon train its fighters. This interpretation suggests that Poland is now capable of leveraging its globally infamous Russophobic policies to influence Western European countries like Germany after having successfully done so in Central Europe. That means that this Russophobic race is one that Germany can never win, which is why it should have remained pragmatic towards Russia. 

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